Tuesday, September 30, 2008

US DJ FALL 777 points

Congress pledged to hammer out a new financial bailout proposal, but it was unclear how much support a new plan would get. The lawmaker in USA rejected the first bailout brings US Dow Jone index hit as low as 800 points. The fears also bring Euro market hit almost average 5% low over the country.

Asia market morning open may fall the trend, Malaysia KLCI also can not avoid the coming bad and fear adjustment.

Please do not try to buy in at this level, because the first heavy adjustment would not bring you any profit for technical rebound.

As yesterday i was told at here, please sell future to gain some profit. Now become realise.

Monday, September 29, 2008

KLSE market preview

After market traded almost one hour, some counter already hit the supported price. It seems like market will going down again.

Let me highlighted my own indicator for your are reference: -

a) MRCB touch 67.5 cents
b) Maybank Suspended
c) Kinsteel touch 60 cents

Furthermore, the top volume counter mostly registered negative. If your are asking me What shall i do now? I would said : please go to Future KLCI sell the Oct 08 and Nov 08 contract to earn some money.

But the margin profit is about 20 points difference. Good Luck buddy!!!!

Friday, September 26, 2008

Media’s Financial News - My way To Survive

As an investor, the simple way to obtain the latest related news about you investment is from newspaper financial analyst. A lot of super hero, usually we named them as “Professional” also has special forum to identify or introduce their skills or investment strategy to public.

The professional always emphasis the investment should avoid those non- profit company. They further added the earning plus positive tangible assets in the company could reduce your worries. Eventually, the share price will reflect their fair value of the said company.

I am 100% respect such Professional man, because in the past 30 years their investment portfolio was proved it. Like Warrant Buffet, in his history of investment, he did it.

Therefore, if you and me want to be a success investor, I think in the coming 30 years, we should fulfil the following conditions: -

a) Coming 30 years we would not died or having heavy illness.
b) We must guarantee in our list of investments portfolio, that is no one company would face bankruptcy.
c) We must insist the said investment’s funds maintain.
d) We must reinvest our dividend.

Friendly speaking, such hard conditions I personally 100% can not fulfil and maybe God also restricted me to fulfil. In Malaysia, Media always promote certain company news for individual investor to refer. The data or information always left out one important issue, there is “Time Consuming”.

I am appreciated the reporter and “professional” always provided me financial data. But after the crisis happen in year 2007, I would not follow their strategy as well as never trust the projected target price reporting in the media.

I am using such data and information to recalculate and analyst my own investment. Hence, every crisis before happened. I was away from that.

Maybe I am lucky. But this is the only way I can survive in the shares investment market.

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

KLSE Market Close at higher price on penny stocks

Today morning KLSE index member move at side way. A lot people worry the index counters hit low again. Hence, the investors prefer to stay away. In the securities firm, I brought a question to everyone. Why Malay owned counter steady? But there is no answer at all.

Market closed at morning is low when compared with yesterday. But after 3.30pm, the small up rally started by Ranhill Bhd and follow by Terbau. On that time, Terbau hit 44.5 cents and Ranhill break the 72.5 cents. It is strong resistance for both counters. After this two counters hit the higher, I also found that Equine also break 49 cents at 4.35pm. Close to the end of trading, Equine hit the 51 cents and closed at 51.5 cents.

So, based on the above data, I found that this up rally would not be running in long period of time because: -

1) The index link counter refuse to move.
2) International market will not deliver any good news.

But, if you want make some money for HariRaya festival. Please consider buying the following counter, My own prediction prices are: -

a) Terbau- buy in at 48 cents, and must run at 51.5cents
b) SAAG – Buy in at 35 cents must run at 38 cents
c) Ranhill – the higher price is 79 cents
d) Equine – can hit 58 cents

Please do not follow my prediction, it can be wrong and buy in on your own risk.

Suspicious attitude should bring together into investment of equities

In 52 weeks ago, AIG was registered one share cost USD58. When compared with today market price about USD4. That is a lot of difference. In the world, AIG is classified as a super 5start share. Its’ also one of the member of Dow Jone index. 3 weeks ago, if you in front of everybody and told them AIG share will fall down at today’s price. People reaction is scolding you as much as he can. Furthermore, if you ask them the reasons, he/she was presented to you the history yield and history price to convince you must holding the share until you died. Because AIG will living longer than you in this world and the pay out dividend can support your life expenses before you died.
But after 15 September 2008, they will give you another reason, Why we should not holding AIG share! Only 21days the difference comments/opinion totally misleading you.

On the above case, now you should aware rapid changing on every second is one of the main factors for investment of equities. Not only you should change you strategy by time to time and also always must bring the suspicion enough attached with you strategy.

I am still remembering before this Financial Tsunami happen, A lot of people claimed that I am wrong and bullshit. But now they seeking my advice to solve their problem.

A friend, almost 5 years never contact me, but yesterday suddenly ring my Hand phone seeking for advice. I was told him, “That is not a big deal because in this 5 years you already received a lot of dividend.”
He was reply like this: ” No, some shares was given dividend and partial investment, the dividend is nil. Now, I am facing the capital reduce 50% already. What should I do?” He further added “If place it at Fixed Deposit. It won’t hurt my capital reduce substantially, Please guide me!”

This is a greatest joke for me. Because previous he also claimed me is a big speculator. Do investment never bring brain and fire me waste money like waterfall. Now, he should aware that I am actually well knows the share investment. My strategy of investment like that because I am always bring suspicious on my investment portfolio. I will lose on litter money but I safe my time to earn from others because I believed I 100% would not survive longer than any corporation which is listed in equities market. And I also believed “Started from Zero eventually would go back to Zero.”

“In equities market, although I am not good enough but during the crisis times I was away”